July Employment Report

The overall tenor of the July employment report was consistent with the song that Yellen and Co. are singing.  Labor markets are generally improving at a moderate pace, yet despite relatively low unemployment, there is plenty of reason to believe considerable slack remains in the economy.

The headline nonfarm payroll number was a ho-hum gain of 209K with some small upward revisions for the previous two months.  Steady above 200k gains this year are lifting the 12-month moving average of jobs higher:

NFPc080114

Continue reading at Tim Duy’s Fed Watch

duy@uoregon.edu