2016 Oregon Economic Forum

SAVE THE DATE!

13th Annual Oregon Economic Forum

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Speaker Biographies

What’s Next After the Election?
Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Portland Art Museum
Doors open at 7am for breakfast
Program runs from 745am to 11am

Registration now open!

EARLY REGISTRATION deadline Oct. 5:
$65 per person or $460 for a table of 8.
Oct. 6 through Nov. 9:
$75 per person or $480 for a table of 8.

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Join us for the 13th Annual Oregon Economic Forum where we will explore the aftermath of another brutal election cycle and what it means for the economy. We have invited a special guest, Stan Collendar, one of the most quoted pundits on all aspects of the federal budget and Washington’s response to economic and fiscal challenges to explore what the outcome of the election will mean for the ability of Congress and the President to keep our economy moving. In addition, we are hosting a panel on panel on Millennials and What They Mean For Your Firm with Sheila Martin, Director of PSU’s Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies and Shawn Busse, CEO of Kinesis. And, finally, an Economic and Financial Review and Preview with Oregon Economic Forum Director Tim Duy and KeyBank Chief Investment Strategist Bruce McCain. We look forward to seeing you at this exciting event.

Special thanks to our Presenting Sponsor KeyBank, media sponsor Portland Business Journal, and our bronze sponsors the Port of Portland and the Portland Business Alliance.

Presenters

Opening Address
Michael H. Schill, President, University of Oregon

Economic and Financial Review and Preview
Tim Duy, Director, Oregon Economic Forum, University of Oregon
Bruce McCain, Chief Strategist, Key Private Bank

Millennials and What They Mean For Business
Shawn Busse, CEO, Kinesis
Sheila Martin, Director, Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies, Portland State University
Russ Gaylor
Consultant, Oregon Manufacturing Extension Program

New President, New Economy? What The Election Means For Growth.
Stan Collender, Executive Vice President, Qorvis MSLGROUP

Read Stan Collender’s latest on Forbes:
Top 5 Things Trump & Clinton Aren’t Telling You
About What Will Happen To The Budget in 2017

For information on sponsoring this event, please contact Tim Duy at 541-346-4660 or duy@uoregon.edu

Oregon Business Conditions Survey

The Oregon Economic Forum is launching a new project as part of our comprehensive effort to assess the state’s economy.  And we need your help!

We are asking that you participate in a survey designed to track business conditions in Oregon.  This short survey ask questions about business conditions at your firm, in your industry, and in your geographic area.  Quotes from certain open-ended questions may be featured in quarterly publications detailing the results of the survey.

We are looking to build a contact list of firms willing to participate with a goal of launching the first survey by the second quarter of 2015.  If you are interested in participating, please contact me at duy@uoregon.edu.

A sample of the survey is available here – at the end you will have another opportunity to participate.

Thank you for your support of the Oregon Economic Forum and the University of Oregon.

August 2016 State of Oregon Economic Indicators

The August 2016 State of Oregon Economic Indexes of  was released today.  Full report is available here.  We thank KeyBank for their generous support of this project.

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Incoming data continue to indicate that Oregon is in the midst of a more mature stage of the business cycle as the pace of growth levels off after the acceleration out of the recession. Highlights of this month’s report include:

  • The Oregon measure of economic activity rose to 0.84 from a downwardly adjusted revised July figure of 0.61. The three-month moving average, which smooths month-to-month volatility in the measure held constant at 0.66, where “zero” indicates average growth over the 1990-present period.
  • The manufacturing sector again made a nearly neutral contribution to the measure; national manufacturing surveys were a weight on the sector. Positive contributions from employment and housing permits bolstered the construction component.
    The University of Oregon Index of Economic Indicators slipped 0.3 percent in August while the July number was revised modestly upward. Similar to the previous month, most indicators were generally unchanged to modestly softer.
  • Employment services payrolls (largely temporary help employees) fell, breaking through the lower end of its recent range. This indicator bears watching, as it may indicate a broader slowdown in activity in the months ahead.
  • It may also, however, reflect a weak manufacturing environment. See also the persistent weakness in the core manufacturing new orders. To date, manufacturing weakness has remained contained and not spread more broadly throughout the economy. Moreover, the sector is expected to improve as the negative impact of lower oil prices and a stronger dollar wane.
  • Together, these indicators suggest ongoing growth in Oregon at an above average pace of activity. The UO Index typically moves sideways as a business cycle matures. Consequently, occasional declines are to be expected.